MATCHUPENGINE
Matchup Engine/Live Round
R22

NRL Try Scorer PicksEvery try has
a matchup.

Read the setup.Find the weakness.

Round 22·Free·How it works ↓
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One engine · three ways in

Find the edge.Then see why.

01
The Round BoardEvery fixture, called edge by edge.
↓02
IgnitionNewWho opens the scoring — and through which channel.
↓03
Try MatrixNewWho scores where, who leaks where — position by position.
↓
Featured match · Round 22

A live look atthe board.

Open any Round 22 fixture to see its top-ranked scorer, matchup rating, Engine-vs-market gap and Diamond pick.

  • 01Top 10, rankedThe engine's ten best try scorers in every game on the slate — not just the headline pick.
  • 02Player breakdownsThe exact defender each attacker targets, and why that edge is soft this week.
  • 03Engine vs marketWhere the model's probability beats the bookmaker's price — the value, in points.
  • 04Diamond badgeThe highest-rated matchup in each game priced at $2.80 or greater.
The full slateBrowse every game in Round 22Every game in Round 22
CowboysvsRoosters
Free
THU 30 JULY7:50 PMQueensland Country Bank Stadium
Top PickFull player board
SYD
Roosters·RW
M.Nawaqanitawase
12T · 14G this season
Try Probability
64%
#2 this slate
Matchup Rating
9.2/10
Elite matchup
Beyond the favourite
Sharper angles, longer prices
2 angles
T.Talau
Engine Gap
Roosters·LW—56% try prob
Anytime
$1.90
H.Savala
Best Diamond
Roosters·LC—7.6 rating
Anytime
$3.25
View Full Game Board

Static market preview only. Sign in to view live market links. Odds may change. 18+.

Matchup cards · 5 featured

Know the matchup behind the pick.

Each card names the defensive target, grades the matchup and compares the Engine's probability with the market.

Pick #1RW
DOLPHINS VS DRAGONSWIN Stadium
J.Isaako
17T · 18G this season
Rating9.5
Try Probability
+6.8% EV$1.57
Engine Price
Market 60%vsEngine 64%
PROJ. TARGET · FORM
SGIT. SloanLW ZONE
EDGETOUGHSOFTSLOTTOUGHSOFT
SEASON MATCHUPDolphinsDragons
EDGE/347thvs24th
RIGHT-EDGE ATTACK← +17LEFT-EDGE DEFENCE
RW/17MOSTvs2NDMOST
17 SCORED← FAVOURED16 CONCEDED
Pick #2LW
EELS VS TIGERSCommBank Stadium
J.Addo-Carr
6T · 17G this season
Rating9.4
Try Probability
+7.5% EV$1.63
Engine Price
Market 57%vsEngine 61%
PROJ. TARGET · FORM
WTIS. TuruvaRW ZONE
EDGETOUGHSOFTSLOTTOUGHSOFT
SEASON MATCHUPEelsTigers
EDGE/3434thvs32nd
LEFT-EDGE ATTACK→ HOLD · -2RIGHT-EDGE DEFENCE
LW/172NDFEWESTvs8THMOST
7 SCORED→ HOLD14 CONCEDED
Pick #3RW
WARRIORS VS TITANSCbus Super Stadium
D.Watene-Zelezniak
17T · 17G this season
Rating9.3
Try Probability
+7.0% EV$1.59
Engine Price
Market 59%vsEngine 63%
PROJ. TARGET · FORM
GCTP. SamiLW ZONE
EDGETOUGHSOFTSLOTTOUGHSOFT
SEASON MATCHUPWarriorsTitans
EDGE/3410thvs21st
RIGHT-EDGE ATTACK← +11LEFT-EDGE DEFENCE
RW/17MOSTvs6THFEWEST
17 SCORED← FAVOURED10 CONCEDED
Pick #4LW
PANTHERS VS RAIDERSGlen Willow Oval
T.Jenkins
26T · 18G this season
Rating9.3
Try Probability
+6.5% EV$1.55
Engine Price
Market 61%vsEngine 65%
PROJ. TARGET · FORM
CANX. SavageRW ZONE
EDGETOUGHSOFTSLOTTOUGHSOFT
SEASON MATCHUPPanthersRaiders
EDGE/342ndvs25th
LEFT-EDGE ATTACK← +23RIGHT-EDGE DEFENCE
LW/17MOSTvs5THMOST
26 SCORED← FAVOURED15 CONCEDED
Pick #5RW
ROOSTERS VS COWBOYSQueensland Country Bank Stadium
M.Nawaqanitawase
12T · 14G this season
Rating9.2
Try Probability
+6.6% EV$1.56
Engine Price
Market 60%vsEngine 64%
PROJ. TARGET · FORM
NQLM. TaulagiLW ZONE
EDGETOUGHSOFTSLOTTOUGHSOFT
SEASON MATCHUPRoostersCowboys
EDGE/3414thvs19th
RIGHT-EDGE ATTACK← +5LEFT-EDGE DEFENCE
RW/176THMOSTvsMOST
14 SCORED← FAVOURED17 CONCEDED

Static market preview only. Sign in to view live market links. Odds may change. 18+.

02Ignition · first tryNew

Who lights the fuse first.

Ignition maps how the game’s opening try is most likely to happen: which team strikes first, where they attack, and the scorer angles that fit the read.

The Ignition slate
  • Redline
  • Torque
  • Nitrous
  • Cylinders
All CylindersLW
SYDvsNQL

T.Talau

Matchup rating8.8
Team first57%Projected
Fit3/4
StrikeLaneSlotSoft

Ignition caseThe strongest all-signal case in this game.

Opening route
Team firstSYD 57%Projected opener
Defence leakLeft · 37%NQL · 11th-leakiest
Target zoneB.BurnsRW zone
03Try Matrix · per gameNew

See where the tries are coming from.

The Matrix pairs each team’s scoring pattern with the roles its opponent concedes to most across the season and recent form, then flags the clearest targets.

Scored vs conceded◆Season & form◆Medal-tiered targets
Try Matrix
SeasonOutside in
How it works

The rating, opened up

Open any matchup card to see the three plain-English grades behind its rating. Price stays separate, so a strong matchup and good value never get blurred into the same claim.

Rating breakdownH.Olakau'atuSea Eagles vs Storm · R2RF
A
Engine LaneStrong
The modelled scoring lane this role attacks, from recent tape.
Top 16% of 2RFs this round
A
Weapon ProfileStrong
Player and team attacking evidence for this role.
Top 13% of 2RFs this round
B+
Game EnvironmentAbove average
How the expected scoreline shapes scoring chance.
Top 27% of 2RFs this round
Matchup ChallengeFree to play

Pick. Streak. Repeat.

Lock one try scorer per game. Every hit extends your streak and moves you up the round leaderboard.

One scorer per game◆Streaks & leaderboard
How it playsRound challenge
One decisionPick your scorerLock it before kick-off
🔥+1Every hit
01Choose from the game boardBuild the streak →
Open Matchup Challenge →
Round 22 · Live now

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is open.

Every fixture, every top pick, every defender target. Create an account to unlock the full slate.

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